DARK SECRETS: Datafolha | Rare Historical Photos

Polymarket Says Bolsonaro Leads. Brazil's Polls Say It's Tied. Both Are Right — Here's Why.

Brazil's election looks different on Polymarket vs. polls — here's why both are technically correct and neither tells the whole story.

Latin Times · Sep 25

Inside the Dead Heat Between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro — What Voters Abroad Decide on Brazil's Election Day

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are locked in a statistical tie ahead of Brazil's Oct. 4 vote, with pollsters split on who's actually ahead.

Latin Times · Sep 18

Flávio Bolsonaro Just Tied Lula in Prediction Market Polls — While Brazil's Supreme Court Tears Itself Apart

Flávio Bolsonaro has pulled even with Lula weeks before Brazil's vote, as a Supreme Court feud rattles the race. What's driving it, and what got distorted.

Latin Times · Sep 12

Almost a third of Brazilians disapprove of Lula, poll shows

Almost a third of Brazilians disapprove of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, putting the leftist leader at about the same level of unpopularity as his right-wing predecessor Jair Bolsonaro during the first three months of his presidency, a poll cited by the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo showed on Saturday.

Reuters · Apr 1, 2023

Brazil presidential contenders in final push before vote

Brazilians decide their president for the next four years on Sunday, and the two remaining candidates are focusing last efforts in voter-packed areas in Brazil’s southeast.

Tribune News Service · Oct 29, 2022

Analysis-Bolsonaro's cash injection gains traction with poor Brazilians ahead of vote

A wave of new government spending by President Jair Bolsonaro may be giving him a boost in the final stretch of a close reelection campaign, opinion polling shows, in a dangerous precedent for electoral law, according to legal experts.

Reuters · Oct 25, 2022

Brazil's Lula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in presidential race -poll

Brazil's presidential race has narrowed to a 4-percentage-point gap between leftist front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro, and they are now statistically tied, according to a poll published on Wednesday.

Reuters · Oct 19, 2022

Lula leading Bolsonaro in second round of Brazil election, poll shows

Brazilian leftist leader Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro, with 49% of voter support against the incumbent's 44% ahead of an Oct. 30 runoff vote, according to a poll by Datafolha published on Friday.

Reuters · Oct 14, 2022

Lula leading Bolsonaro in second round of Brazil election, poll shows

Leftist Brazilian presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro, with 49% of voter support against the incumbent's 44%, ahead of an Oct. 30 runoff vote, according to a poll published on Friday.

Reuters · Oct 7, 2022

Brazil's Bolsonaro and the right outperform, defying polls

Brazil’s election has provided the world yet another example of polls missing the mark, with incumbent Jair Bolsonaro considerably outperforming expectations to prove the far-right wave he rode to the presidency remains a force

The Independent UK · Oct 3, 2022